Here is the deal about wild bets. 

They are wild for a reason. 

If one knew what were to happen, they wouldn’t be wild anymore. They wouldn’t even be a bet. 

So stop attaching a probability of success to them. Don’t try to tame them. 

By the same measure, lack of conviction instantly kills any possibility of success. 

Wild bets thrive on irrational belief. Don’t doubt them. Keep them wild.